The 30% Signal: Why the Iran Nuclear Threat Is a Crypto Market Mispricing
Over the past 72 hours, prediction markets have priced a 30% probability of a...
Bitcoin
•
CryptoStack
•
2026-07-26
#us foreign policy
us foreign policy related articles
Polymarket Puts 30% on Iran Deal Even as US Threatens Nuclear Strike — What the Prediction Market Misses
Parsing the entropy in geopolitical prediction markets. On May 20, 2024,...
DeFi
•
0xBen
•
2026-07-24
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Fear & Greed
27
Fear
Market Sentiment
Event Calendar
202618
03
unlock
Sui Token Unlock
Team and early investor shares released
28
03
unlock
Arbitrum Token Unlock
92 million ARB released
10
05
upgrade
Ethereum Pectra Upgrade
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
22
03
unlock
Optimism Unlock
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
15
04
halving
Bitcoin Halving
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
08
04
upgrade
Solana Firedancer
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
30
04
upgrade
Celestia Mainnet Upgrade
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
12
05
halving
BCH Halving
Block reward halving event
Market Cap
All →
1
Bitcoin
BTC
$62,548.5
1
Ethereum
ETH
$1,853.22
1
Solana
SOL
$71.57
1
BNB Chain
BNB
$576.3
1
XRP Ledger
XRP
$1.06
1
Dogecoin
DOGE
$0.0693
1
Cardano
ADA
$0.1728
1
Avalanche
AVAX
$6.28
1
Polkadot
DOT
$0.7726
1
Chainlink
LINK
$8.02
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44
Bitcoin Season
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Altseason
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Ethereum
28 Gwei
BNB Chain
3 Gwei
Polygon
42 Gwei
Arbitrum
0.5 Gwei
Optimism
0.3 Gwei
🐋 Whale Tracker
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0x6aa8...9ec6
6h ago
In
2,645.67 BTC
🔴
0x38bf...90d0
12h ago
Out
1,651 ETH
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0x7887...ddfb
2m ago
Out
15,337 SOL
💡 Smart Money
0xd48c...59d4
Arbitrage Bot
+$0.3M
61%
0x3cd8...c3f6
Arbitrage Bot
+$4.2M
86%
0xe07e...3b67
Arbitrage Bot
+$2.2M
75%